Swiss Super League Regular Season Round 7

Aarau vs FC Lugano analysis

Aarau FC Lugano
71 ELO 72
0.4% Tilt -9%
738º General ELO ranking 312º
15º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
53.3%
Aarau
24.8%
Draw
21.8%
FC Lugano

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
Aarau
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21.9%
Win probability
FC Lugano
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aarau
+3%
-22%
FC Lugano

ELO progression

Aarau
FC Lugano
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Aug. 1991
FCW
FC Wettingen
2 - 2
Aarau
FCA
54%
25%
21%
71 70 1 0
10 Aug. 1991
FCA
Aarau
2 - 0
Luzern
FCL
44%
26%
31%
70 76 6 +1
06 Aug. 1991
YOB
Young Boys
5 - 0
Aarau
FCA
63%
22%
15%
71 73 2 -1
03 Aug. 1991
FCA
Aarau
0 - 3
Lausanne Sports
LAU
40%
28%
32%
72 78 6 -1
27 Jul. 1991
SIO
Sion
1 - 1
Aarau
FCA
62%
23%
15%
71 77 6 +1

Matches

FC Lugano
FC Lugano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Aug. 1991
LUG
FC Lugano
0 - 0
Sion
SIO
42%
27%
31%
72 78 6 0
10 Aug. 1991
LUG
FC Lugano
2 - 2
Grasshopper
GCZ
34%
28%
38%
72 81 9 0
06 Aug. 1991
LAU
Lausanne Sports
4 - 0
FC Lugano
LUG
65%
21%
15%
73 79 6 -1
03 Aug. 1991
LUG
FC Lugano
1 - 4
Young Boys
YOB
54%
24%
22%
74 72 2 -1
27 Jul. 1991
FCW
FC Wettingen
3 - 0
FC Lugano
LUG
48%
28%
25%
74 70 4 0