Challenge League Round 15

Aarau vs SC Kriens analysis

Aarau SC Kriens
58 ELO 53
0.2% Tilt 13.9%
727º General ELO ranking 2428º
15º Country ELO ranking 26º
ELO win probability
51.9%
Aarau
23.9%
Draw
24.2%
SC Kriens

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
Aarau
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24.2%
Win probability
SC Kriens
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aarau
+6%
+14%
SC Kriens

ELO progression

Aarau
SC Kriens
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Dec. 2011
LOC
Locarno
1 - 1
Aarau
FCA
39%
25%
36%
58 54 4 0
21 Nov. 2011
FCA
Aarau
2 - 2
St. Gallen
STG
18%
23%
60%
58 72 14 0
06 Nov. 2011
FCA
Aarau
1 - 3
Biel-Bienne
BIE
48%
25%
28%
59 58 1 -1
31 Oct. 2011
BEL
AC Bellinzona
0 - 1
Aarau
FCA
65%
20%
15%
58 66 8 +1
23 Oct. 2011
FCA
Aarau
1 - 0
SC Bruhl
SCB
74%
17%
9%
57 42 15 +1

Matches

SC Kriens
SC Kriens
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Dec. 2011
KRI
SC Kriens
1 - 1
Etoile Carouge
ETO
65%
20%
15%
55 46 9 0
27 Nov. 2011
KRI
SC Kriens
2 - 2
Grasshopper
GCZ
16%
20%
64%
54 76 22 +1
20 Nov. 2011
STA
Stade Nyonnais
3 - 0
SC Kriens
KRI
46%
24%
30%
56 55 1 -2
06 Nov. 2011
KRI
SC Kriens
4 - 1
Wohlen
WOH
39%
25%
36%
55 58 3 +1
30 Oct. 2011
KRI
SC Kriens
2 - 0
Delemont
DEL
56%
23%
22%
53 49 4 +2