Aarau vs FC Vaduz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
31.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
3º
7º
6º
49
3º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
ZUR
4 - 2
FCA
68%
18%
14%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
BAS
2 - 3
FCA
66%
20%
15%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
NEX
2 - 1
FCA
22%
23%
55%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 1
WIL
53%
23%
25%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
FCA
0 - 0
SIO
33%
25%
42%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
RAP
2 - 2
FCV
25%
21%
54%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
YOB
3 - 2
FCV
83%
12%
6%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
FCV
1 - 2
BEL
55%
24%
22%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
STA
1 - 0
FCV
40%
23%
37%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
NEX
1 - 1
FCV
24%
23%
53%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |