Aarau vs FC Vaduz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
38.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2011 |
LUG
3 - 1
FCA
62%
22%
17%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
FCA
2 - 1
STA
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
WIN
1 - 2
FCA
46%
24%
30%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
FCL
5 - 1
FCA
77%
15%
8%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
FCV
2 - 0
FCA
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
FCV
3 - 4
STA
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
FCV
2 - 1
HAP
19%
21%
60%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | +2 |
| 01 Aug. 2011 |
FCV
2 - 2
WIN
63%
20%
17%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
HAP
4 - 0
FCV
77%
15%
8%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
STG
4 - 2
FCV
55%
24%
22%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |