Aarau vs Delemont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2003 |
KRI
1 - 4
FCA
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
FCA
1 - 0
STG
38%
25%
37%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2003 |
STG
0 - 0
FCA
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
FCA
1 - 2
KRI
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
DEL
1 - 2
FCA
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Delemont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2003 |
DEL
1 - 4
STG
32%
25%
43%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
DEL
2 - 2
KRI
50%
23%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2003 |
KRI
0 - 1
DEL
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
STG
2 - 0
DEL
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
DEL
1 - 2
FCA
44%
25%
31%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |