Aarau vs Chiasso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
SCH
0 - 0
FCA
20%
22%
58%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
FCA
2 - 2
WIN
47%
24%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
GCZ
0 - 0
FCA
42%
25%
33%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
KSC
1 - 1
FCA
50%
23%
27%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
FCA
2 - 2
FCV
51%
23%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
CHI
0 - 1
GCZ
16%
23%
62%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
FCV
4 - 2
CHI
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
CHI
2 - 2
STA
29%
24%
47%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
WIL
1 - 4
CHI
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CHI
3 - 2
LAU
9%
18%
74%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | +1 |