Aarau vs Chiasso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
DAN
1 - 2
FCA
8%
14%
78%
|
59 | 20 | 39 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
WIL
2 - 0
FCA
36%
25%
39%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
FCA
0 - 2
KRI
39%
24%
37%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2018 |
WIN
3 - 1
FCA
25%
24%
51%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
FCA
0 - 2
SER
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
FCB
0 - 7
CHI
5%
11%
84%
|
54 | 9 | 45 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
CHI
2 - 1
SCH
17%
23%
61%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
LAU
5 - 1
CHI
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
CHI
0 - 3
SER
23%
26%
51%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 3
FCV
14%
21%
66%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | -1 |