Aarau vs Chiasso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
SER
4 - 2
FCA
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
DEL
3 - 3
FCA
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
FCA
5 - 3
BIE
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
FCA
0 - 1
KRI
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2010 |
LUG
1 - 0
FCA
65%
20%
14%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 1
WIL
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
LAU
2 - 1
CHI
55%
24%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 0
SCH
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
WIN
1 - 2
CHI
52%
23%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
CHI
4 - 1
WOH
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |