Swiss Super League Normal Season Round 8

Aarau vs Basel analysis

Aarau Basel
74 ELO 80
2.6% Tilt 7.6%
741º General ELO ranking 248º
15º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
36.9%
Aarau
25.4%
Draw
37.7%
Basel

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
Aarau
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
37.7%
Win probability
Basel
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aarau
-4%
+18%
Basel

ELO progression

Aarau
Basel
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Aug. 2001
LAU
Lausanne Sports
0 - 3
Aarau
FCA
61%
21%
18%
73 80 7 0
04 Aug. 2001
FCA
Aarau
2 - 3
Zurich
ZUR
42%
26%
32%
73 79 6 0
28 Jul. 2001
STG
St. Gallen
1 - 1
Aarau
FCA
63%
20%
17%
73 80 7 0
21 Jul. 2001
FCA
Aarau
1 - 1
Servette
SER
36%
25%
38%
72 80 8 +1
17 Jul. 2001
SIO
Sion
0 - 1
Aarau
FCA
54%
24%
22%
72 76 4 0

Matches

Basel
Basel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Aug. 2001
BAS
Basel
3 - 1
Young Boys
YOB
65%
19%
16%
80 74 6 0
07 Aug. 2001
BAS
Basel
1 - 1
Aston Villa
ASV
51%
25%
24%
80 84 4 0
04 Aug. 2001
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
1 - 0
Basel
BAS
36%
25%
39%
80 72 8 0
01 Aug. 2001
LAU
Lausanne Sports
2 - 2
Basel
BAS
53%
23%
25%
80 80 0 0
28 Jul. 2001
ZUR
Zurich
2 - 0
Basel
BAS
39%
26%
35%
80 78 2 0