Aarau vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
37.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
LAU
0 - 3
FCA
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
FCA
2 - 3
ZUR
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
STG
1 - 1
FCA
63%
20%
17%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2001 |
FCA
1 - 1
SER
36%
25%
38%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2001 |
SIO
0 - 1
FCA
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
BAS
3 - 1
YOB
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2001 |
BAS
1 - 1
ASV
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
NEX
1 - 0
BAS
36%
25%
39%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2001 |
LAU
2 - 2
BAS
53%
23%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
ZUR
2 - 0
BAS
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |