Aarau vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
36.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
NEX
1 - 5
FCA
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
FCA
1 - 2
LAU
26%
25%
50%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
SIO
0 - 1
FCA
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2000 |
FCA
2 - 1
ZUR
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2000 |
FCL
0 - 0
FCA
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2000 |
BAS
2 - 2
STG
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2000 |
BAS
7 - 0
FOL
72%
17%
12%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
SER
1 - 1
BAS
51%
24%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2000 |
BAS
2 - 3
LUG
57%
23%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2000 |
FOL
1 - 5
BAS
38%
25%
37%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |