Swiss Super League Normal Season Round 9

Aarau vs Basel analysis

Aarau Basel
71 ELO 78
3.3% Tilt 4.2%
744º General ELO ranking 245º
15º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
38.5%
Aarau
25.4%
Draw
36%
Basel

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
Aarau
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
36.1%
Win probability
Basel
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aarau
-6%
+18%
Basel

ELO progression

Aarau
Basel
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Aug. 2000
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
1 - 5
Aarau
FCA
58%
22%
20%
70 72 2 0
19 Aug. 2000
FCA
Aarau
1 - 2
Lausanne Sports
LAU
26%
25%
50%
71 84 13 -1
12 Aug. 2000
SIO
Sion
0 - 1
Aarau
FCA
56%
24%
20%
70 76 6 +1
05 Aug. 2000
FCA
Aarau
2 - 1
Zurich
ZUR
35%
27%
38%
69 80 11 +1
29 Jul. 2000
FCL
Luzern
0 - 0
Aarau
FCA
51%
24%
25%
69 70 1 0

Matches

Basel
Basel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Aug. 2000
BAS
Basel
2 - 2
St. Gallen
STG
45%
24%
31%
78 81 3 0
24 Aug. 2000
BAS
Basel
7 - 0
Folgore
FOL
72%
17%
12%
78 69 9 0
19 Aug. 2000
SER
Servette
1 - 1
Basel
BAS
51%
24%
26%
78 77 1 0
13 Aug. 2000
BAS
Basel
2 - 3
FC Lugano
LUG
57%
23%
21%
78 76 2 0
10 Aug. 2000
FOL
Folgore
1 - 5
Basel
BAS
38%
25%
37%
77 70 7 +1