Swiss Super League Round 12

Aarau vs Basel analysis

Aarau Basel
75 ELO 68
-8.3% Tilt -5.1%
760º General ELO ranking 243º
15º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
59.7%
Aarau
22.6%
Draw
17.7%
Basel

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
Aarau
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.7%
Win probability
Basel
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aarau
+8%
+24%
Basel

ELO progression

Aarau
Basel
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Sep. 1997
LAU
Lausanne Sports
2 - 1
Aarau
FCA
59%
23%
19%
75 78 3 0
14 Sep. 1997
FCA
Aarau
3 - 0
Etoile Carouge
ETO
70%
19%
11%
74 61 13 +1
30 Aug. 1997
SER
Servette
2 - 1
Aarau
FCA
55%
24%
21%
75 77 2 -1
24 Aug. 1997
FCA
Aarau
3 - 1
Luzern
FCL
51%
25%
24%
74 73 1 +1
15 Aug. 1997
BAS
Basel
2 - 1
Aarau
FCA
50%
25%
26%
74 69 5 0

Matches

Basel
Basel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Sep. 1997
GCZ
Grasshopper
3 - 2
Basel
BAS
83%
12%
6%
69 84 15 0
02 Sep. 1997
BAS
Basel
3 - 4
Luzern
FCL
54%
23%
23%
70 73 3 -1
30 Aug. 1997
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
3 - 0
Basel
BAS
74%
17%
10%
70 83 13 0
23 Aug. 1997
BAS
Basel
3 - 2
St. Gallen
STG
55%
23%
22%
69 72 3 +1
15 Aug. 1997
BAS
Basel
2 - 1
Aarau
FCA
50%
25%
26%
69 74 5 0