Aarau vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
LAU
2 - 1
FCA
59%
23%
19%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1997 |
FCA
3 - 0
ETO
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
SER
2 - 1
FCA
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1997 |
FCA
3 - 1
FCL
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 1997 |
BAS
2 - 1
FCA
50%
25%
26%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
GCZ
3 - 2
BAS
83%
12%
6%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1997 |
BAS
3 - 4
FCL
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
NEX
3 - 0
BAS
74%
17%
10%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
BAS
3 - 2
STG
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 1997 |
BAS
2 - 1
FCA
50%
25%
26%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |