Aarau vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
LUG
2 - 0
FCA
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1995 |
FCA
2 - 4
SER
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 1995 |
SIO
2 - 1
FCA
52%
26%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1995 |
FCA
0 - 0
YOB
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 1995 |
FCA
1 - 2
KSC
40%
28%
32%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
SER
1 - 2
BAS
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1995 |
BAS
0 - 2
LUG
58%
23%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 1995 |
ZUR
0 - 0
BAS
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1995 |
BAS
2 - 0
FCL
57%
22%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 1995 |
NEX
1 - 0
BAS
48%
26%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |