Aarau vs AC Bellinzona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
18.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
2º
7º
4º
37
1º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
SCH
2 - 2
FCA
34%
25%
41%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 2
YVE
40%
25%
35%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
LAU
4 - 1
FCA
42%
24%
35%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 0
THU
42%
24%
34%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SCA
0 - 3
FCA
51%
21%
29%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
LAU
1 - 1
BEL
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 2
SCH
24%
24%
52%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
WIL
3 - 0
BEL
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 2
YVE
26%
25%
49%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
THU
0 - 1
BEL
55%
22%
23%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |