Fbm Moncada vs Crack´s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fbm Moncada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
CHE
1 - 0
MON
52%
22%
26%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
MON
1 - 1
REQ
32%
25%
43%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
TOR
3 - 7
MON
61%
21%
18%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
MON
0 - 4
TCF
53%
23%
25%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
QUA
2 - 0
MON
56%
23%
22%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Crack´s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ATV
1 - 2
CRA
44%
25%
31%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
CRA
2 - 0
CHE
27%
24%
50%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
REQ
3 - 1
CRA
73%
17%
10%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
CRA
1 - 1
TOR
31%
24%
45%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
TCF
0 - 0
CRA
61%
23%
17%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |