UCL Qualifying First round Final
Global 1-1
FBK Kaunas vs Sloga Jugomagnat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
8.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBK Kaunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2001 |
JUG
0 - 0
FBK
25%
24%
51%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2001 |
FBK
3 - 0
VET
79%
14%
7%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2001 |
GEV
1 - 3
FBK
16%
22%
62%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2001 |
FBK
6 - 0
DAI
90%
8%
2%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2001 |
NEV
0 - 0
FBK
16%
23%
61%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sloga Jugomagnat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2001 |
JUG
0 - 0
FBK
25%
24%
51%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
BEL
0 - 0
JUG
55%
24%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
JUG
3 - 0
OSO
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2001 |
MAK
1 - 4
JUG
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
JUG
3 - 0
FKB
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |