FBK Balkan vs Simrishamn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
44.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBK Balkan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2024 |
NOS
1 - 2
FBK
45%
22%
34%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
FBK
2 - 0
IFL
72%
16%
12%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
KAR
3 - 1
FBK
72%
15%
12%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
FBK
0 - 2
HAS
22%
23%
55%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
OST
1 - 0
FBK
48%
21%
31%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Simrishamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
IFL
2 - 3
SIM
16%
18%
66%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SIM
1 - 1
KAR
30%
22%
49%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
HAS
4 - 0
SIM
67%
20%
14%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SIM
2 - 3
OST
51%
21%
28%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
HOG
1 - 2
SIM
18%
19%
63%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |