FBC Melgar vs UTC Cajamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
MEL
2 - 1
UNI
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2019 |
PAL
3 - 0
MEL
80%
14%
6%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
GAR
1 - 0
MEL
49%
26%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2019 |
MEL
0 - 0
SLO
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
CFC
2 - 1
MEL
34%
26%
40%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
BIN
4 - 1
UTC
52%
27%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2019 |
UTC
2 - 1
AUN
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
UTC
0 - 0
MAN
48%
27%
26%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
SAM
1 - 1
UTC
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
CAN
2 - 1
UTC
35%
28%
37%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |