FBC Melgar vs UTC Cajamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
ALI
0 - 0
MEL
26%
29%
46%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
MEL
4 - 1
COM
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MEL
2 - 0
UNI
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 0
MEL
34%
31%
35%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
MEL
2 - 0
GAR
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
UTC
0 - 0
CIE
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
AYA
1 - 2
UTC
54%
24%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
UTC
2 - 0
ALI
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
COM
2 - 0
UTC
63%
22%
16%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
UTC
2 - 3
SPC
22%
26%
52%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |