FBC Melgar vs Univ. San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
PIR
2 - 0
MEL
31%
30%
39%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
MEL
1 - 1
UTC
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
MEL
2 - 1
UNI
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2019 |
PAL
3 - 0
MEL
80%
14%
6%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
GAR
1 - 0
MEL
49%
26%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
SAM
1 - 0
MAN
52%
25%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
COM
0 - 0
SAM
57%
22%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
PIR
0 - 0
SAM
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
SAM
2 - 3
UNI
40%
26%
35%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2019 |
GAR
2 - 1
SAM
58%
23%
20%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |