FBC Melgar vs Ayacucho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
21.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 2
MEL
42%
29%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 1
LEO
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
MEL
2 - 2
UTC
57%
25%
18%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
COM
0 - 2
MEL
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
MEL
3 - 0
LOS
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
AYA
1 - 1
UTC
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2014 |
COM
0 - 1
AYA
45%
26%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
AYA
2 - 1
LOS
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
SPC
3 - 0
AYA
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
AYA
3 - 1
CIE
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |