FBC Melgar vs Deportivo Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
LLA
0 - 6
MEL
35%
28%
37%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2020 |
MEL
4 - 0
HUA
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
MEL
0 - 2
VAL
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
MAN
0 - 0
MEL
56%
22%
22%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
MEL
4 - 1
SBO
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
MUN
2 - 5
LLA
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
VAL
0 - 1
MUN
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
MUN
1 - 1
AYA
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
MUN
1 - 1
GAR
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2020 |
SBO
1 - 0
MUN
46%
26%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |