FBC Melgar vs Atlético Grau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
22.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
MAN
1 - 1
MEL
56%
22%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2020 |
MEL
0 - 0
AYA
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
LLA
1 - 1
MEL
36%
28%
36%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2020 |
MEL
1 - 0
AUN
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
CIE
3 - 1
MEL
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Grau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
AGP
1 - 1
GAR
43%
27%
31%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
AGP
2 - 2
BIN
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
SPC
1 - 2
AGP
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
UNI
2 - 0
AGP
63%
23%
15%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
AGP
3 - 2
MUN
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |