FBC Club Aurora vs Tacna Heroica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
44.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Club Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ANG
1 - 5
FCA
23%
20%
57%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 4
FCA
83%
13%
5%
|
13 | 64 | 51 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
FCA
0 - 4
UNI
13%
19%
68%
|
13 | 64 | 51 | 0 |
Matches
Tacna Heroica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
EGB
1 - 0
VAL
6%
12%
82%
|
14 | 70 | 56 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
HUA
6 - 2
EGB
88%
10%
3%
|
15 | 67 | 52 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
EGB
2 - 0
HUA
5%
15%
80%
|
13 | 67 | 54 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CCA
1 - 0
EGB
20%
20%
60%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
EGB
3 - 1
CCA
65%
18%
17%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |