Redovan vs Thader analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.3%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Redovan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 0
RED
18%
20%
62%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SFF
1 - 0
RED
18%
20%
62%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
RED
3 - 1
VIL
80%
13%
7%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
RED
4 - 0
ASP
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 4
RED
14%
18%
68%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
THD
2 - 2
SFF
29%
22%
49%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 4
THD
55%
22%
24%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
THD
0 - 1
VIJ
39%
24%
37%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 3
THD
70%
17%
13%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
THD
4 - 3
ALB
29%
23%
48%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |