Loriguilla vs Macastre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
12.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loriguilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
LOR
3 - 2
CAM
48%
22%
31%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
GOD
0 - 0
LOR
46%
22%
33%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
LOR
1 - 1
SAL
75%
14%
11%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
REQ
0 - 1
LOR
31%
22%
48%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
LOR
4 - 3
CLU
73%
15%
13%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Macastre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
MAC
4 - 3
VDM
58%
19%
22%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ALX
3 - 3
MAC
91%
7%
2%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
CHE
3 - 0
MAC
78%
13%
8%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2017 |
REQ
2 - 1
MAC
37%
23%
40%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
MAC
2 - 2
GOD
43%
21%
36%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |