Faversham Town vs Worthing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
62.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faversham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
FAV
3 - 1
SEV
47%
22%
31%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
ASH
2 - 0
FAV
48%
22%
30%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
FAV
4 - 1
HAC
80%
13%
7%
|
23 | 8 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
FAV
1 - 1
HER
32%
23%
45%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2018 |
FAV
0 - 2
GIL
11%
18%
71%
|
22 | 55 | 33 | +1 |
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
HAR
1 - 2
WOR
40%
23%
37%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
WOR
0 - 0
BUR
85%
10%
5%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
HAR
0 - 2
WOR
28%
22%
50%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 2
WOR
50%
21%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
WOR
2 - 1
WIN
60%
20%
20%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |