Non League Div One Isthmian Sur. Jor. 4

Faversham Town vs Herne Bay analysis

Faversham Town Herne Bay
26 ELO 20
2.2% Tilt -8.8%
9710º General ELO ranking 8122º
547º Country ELO ranking 408º
ELO win probability
69.4%
Faversham Town
17.4%
Draw
13.2%
Herne Bay

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
Faversham Town
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
13.2%
Win probability
Herne Bay
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Faversham Town
+9%
+5%
Herne Bay

ELO progression

Faversham Town
Herne Bay
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Faversham Town
Faversham Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Aug. 2017
WAL
Walton Casuals
4 - 3
Faversham Town
FAV
46%
23%
31%
28 23 5 0
22 Aug. 2017
FAV
Faversham Town
2 - 1
Croydon Athletic
CRO
53%
22%
25%
27 22 5 +1
19 Aug. 2017
CRO
Croydon
0 - 0
Faversham Town
FAV
23%
21%
55%
28 18 10 -1
15 Aug. 2017
FAV
Faversham Town
1 - 2
Ramsgate
RAM
56%
21%
23%
29 25 4 -1
12 Aug. 2017
VCD
VCD Athletic
0 - 5
Faversham Town
FAV
39%
25%
36%
27 23 4 +2

Matches

Herne Bay
Herne Bay
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Aug. 2017
HER
Herne Bay
3 - 1
Chipstead
CHI
51%
23%
26%
18 17 1 0
20 Aug. 2017
HER
Herne Bay
2 - 1
Chessington & Hook United
CHE
52%
21%
27%
18 15 3 0
15 Aug. 2017
SIT
Sittingbourne
3 - 0
Herne Bay
HER
55%
22%
23%
19 21 2 -1
12 Aug. 2017
HER
Herne Bay
0 - 1
Lewes
LEW
23%
23%
54%
19 28 9 0
22 Apr. 2017
WHY
Whyteleafe
3 - 0
Herne Bay
HER
62%
20%
19%
20 24 4 -1
X