Fatima vs Oleiros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2020 |
CON
0 - 0
FAT
40%
26%
34%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
FAT
3 - 0
IDE
67%
18%
15%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2020 |
SER
1 - 0
FAT
38%
28%
34%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
FAT
1 - 2
VIT
79%
13%
8%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
PRA
1 - 1
FAT
75%
17%
8%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Oleiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
CON
1 - 0
OLE
45%
24%
31%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
OLE
3 - 1
GDF
65%
19%
16%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
OLI
2 - 1
OLE
38%
27%
35%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
OLE
0 - 1
ANA
28%
26%
46%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 2
OLE
44%
27%
29%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |