Fatih Karagümrük vs Mersin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
68.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatih Karagümrük
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
PEN
1 - 2
FAT
58%
24%
18%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2014 |
FAT
1 - 1
BUR
10%
20%
70%
|
49 | 80 | 31 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
FAT
2 - 1
AYD
37%
28%
35%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
SAM
0 - 1
FAT
75%
17%
9%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
FET
2 - 1
FAT
65%
21%
14%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Mersin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
GAL
3 - 2
MER
73%
17%
10%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2014 |
MER
3 - 1
SAM
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
MER
1 - 1
KAY
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2014 |
BUR
1 - 1
MER
64%
21%
16%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
KON
2 - 0
MER
41%
28%
32%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |