Fast Clube vs Amapá Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fast Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2006 |
SAO
1 - 0
FAS
23%
24%
53%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
ANA
1 - 1
FAS
35%
25%
40%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
FAS
1 - 0
ANA
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2006 |
FAS
1 - 0
SAO
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2006 |
AMA
0 - 1
FAS
26%
24%
50%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Amapá Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2006 |
ANA
5 - 2
AMA
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
AMA
0 - 0
SAO
57%
23%
20%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
SAO
2 - 2
AMA
40%
25%
36%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 Jul. 2006 |
AMA
2 - 0
ANA
32%
26%
42%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +2 |
| 16 Jul. 2006 |
AMA
0 - 1
FAS
26%
24%
50%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -2 |