Città di Fasano vs Audace Cerignola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
52.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+87%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Città di Fasano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
FCF
0 - 0
ASF
59%
20%
21%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
ASF
0 - 3
LAV
26%
21%
53%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
FBC
3 - 0
ASF
46%
22%
32%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
ASD
2 - 0
ASF
53%
22%
26%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
ASF
0 - 0
MOL
47%
22%
32%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Audace Cerignola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
AUD
1 - 2
RAA
80%
14%
7%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
FBC
0 - 0
AUD
25%
26%
49%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
AUD
4 - 0
BRI
65%
19%
16%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
VIR
5 - 3
AUD
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
AUD
1 - 1
SOR
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |