FAS vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
58.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
ALI
4 - 0
FAS
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
FAS
0 - 2
FIR
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
VIS
2 - 2
FAS
46%
27%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
BAL
3 - 0
FAS
36%
27%
38%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2010 |
FAS
1 - 2
FIR
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
TOL
1 - 1
TIG
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
JAG
1 - 1
TOL
37%
27%
36%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
TOL
1 - 1
PAC
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
PUM
2 - 1
TOL
42%
27%
31%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
TOL
0 - 0
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |