FAS vs Cacahuatique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
11.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+101%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
3º
8º
8º
40
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 9 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MUN
1 - 1
FAS
44%
27%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
FAS
0 - 0
CDP
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
AGU
3 - 1
FAS
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FAS
0 - 3
MET
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FUE
2 - 2
FAS
19%
26%
55%
|
70 | 38 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Cacahuatique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
CDC
0 - 0
AGU
23%
29%
49%
|
22 | 70 | 48 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
MET
2 - 1
CDC
68%
21%
12%
|
22 | 70 | 48 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CDC
2 - 0
FUE
14%
18%
68%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | +6 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CDD
0 - 1
CDC
73%
17%
10%
|
15 | 66 | 51 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 0
ONC
18%
23%
59%
|
14 | 69 | 55 | +1 |