FAS vs Chalatenango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
25.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
JUV
1 - 0
FAS
28%
28%
44%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
FIR
0 - 1
FAS
45%
27%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
FAS
1 - 1
BAL
62%
23%
16%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
MET
0 - 0
FAS
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
FAS
2 - 1
VIS
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chalatenango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
CHA
2 - 0
BAL
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
MET
1 - 0
CHA
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
CHA
2 - 1
VIS
55%
24%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
ALA
2 - 2
CHA
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
CHA
1 - 0
ALI
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |