FAS vs Atlético Marte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
15.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
MUN
0 - 1
FAS
27%
28%
46%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
FAS
3 - 0
MET
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
FAS
2 - 0
VIS
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
FIR
1 - 0
FAS
37%
29%
34%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
FAS
0 - 1
AGU
53%
25%
23%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Marte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
ALI
1 - 1
ATL
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
ATL
2 - 2
MUN
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
ATL
1 - 1
MET
40%
27%
34%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
VIS
1 - 0
ATL
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
ATL
1 - 2
FIR
43%
28%
30%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |