FAS vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
65.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
MUN
1 - 2
FAS
54%
26%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 1
FAS
61%
24%
15%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
FAS
1 - 2
JOC
64%
23%
13%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 1
FAS
37%
30%
34%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
FAS
2 - 2
ONC
63%
23%
14%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
ALI
2 - 0
SAN
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
CEV
2 - 0
ALI
19%
27%
54%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2019 |
MET
1 - 2
ALI
11%
22%
67%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
IND
1 - 1
ALI
8%
20%
72%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
ALI
2 - 0
AGU
70%
19%
12%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |