FAS vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.8%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
28.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2010 |
TOL
5 - 0
FAS
78%
15%
6%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
FIR
1 - 0
FAS
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
FAS
1 - 1
ONC
60%
24%
16%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
FAS
1 - 0
VIS
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2010 |
FAS
1 - 4
OLI
28%
27%
46%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
MET
3 - 0
ALI
64%
22%
15%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
ALI
2 - 0
VIS
50%
26%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
ALI
5 - 0
FIR
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
ONC
0 - 0
ALI
32%
31%
37%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2010 |
ALI
2 - 1
ATL
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |