FA Trophy . 1/64
Global 6-2
Farsley Celtic vs Tamworth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
49.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farsley Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
GLO
0 - 2
FAR
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 3
FAR
41%
25%
34%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
FAR
0 - 0
RAM
67%
19%
14%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
FAR
2 - 1
HYD
70%
18%
12%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2016 |
FAR
3 - 1
MOS
68%
18%
14%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
TAM
2 - 2
STO
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
TAM
2 - 1
STA
75%
17%
8%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
TOW
3 - 4
TAM
42%
24%
34%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
TAM
2 - 1
DAR
20%
23%
57%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
TAM
1 - 0
FYL
19%
22%
59%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |