Farnborough vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
CLE
1 - 4
FAR
21%
23%
55%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
FAR
1 - 0
DID
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
WHI
2 - 3
FAR
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
BRA
1 - 3
FAR
32%
25%
44%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
FAR
3 - 1
LEA
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
BAS
2 - 1
EVE
56%
24%
21%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
BAN
1 - 1
BAS
34%
26%
40%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
BAS
3 - 2
CLE
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
BAS
3 - 0
SWI
57%
23%
21%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
MER
2 - 1
BAS
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |