Farense vs Vilafranquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
23.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2022 |
BEN
3 - 0
FAR
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 1
FAR
25%
27%
48%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
FAR
1 - 1
ACV
57%
25%
19%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
FEI
4 - 1
FAR
52%
26%
23%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
FAR
3 - 1
ACA
54%
26%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Vilafranquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 1
ACA
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
VIL
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 0
MAF
31%
27%
42%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
SPC
1 - 1
VIL
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
VIL
4 - 3
NAC
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |