Farense U23 vs Braga U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
40.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
1º
6º
4º
31
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 10 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 8 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
MAF
0 - 0
FAR
27%
22%
51%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
LEX
1 - 2
FAR
30%
23%
47%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
RIO
6 - 2
FAR
35%
23%
42%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -2 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
FAR
1 - 0
ACV
56%
20%
24%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
6 - 1
FAR
36%
23%
41%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Braga U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 1
RIO
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 0
POR
61%
22%
18%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
ACV
2 - 1
BRA
29%
26%
44%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BRA
3 - 0
MAF
71%
18%
11%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 2
BRA
33%
27%
41%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |