Fano vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
66.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
PAD
3 - 0
FAN
77%
17%
7%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
FAN
0 - 2
ABN
30%
28%
43%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
FAN
65%
22%
13%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2016 |
FAN
0 - 0
FCS
25%
26%
49%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
BV5
1 - 1
FAN
78%
16%
7%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SSS
2 - 0
ASG
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 1
SSS
25%
24%
51%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
SSS
0 - 1
MAC
42%
27%
31%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2016 |
PAD
1 - 0
SSS
59%
22%
18%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
POR
1 - 1
SSS
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |