Fano vs Santarcangelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
29.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2017 |
REG
1 - 0
FAN
51%
26%
23%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
SSS
0 - 0
FAN
66%
21%
13%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ASG
3 - 2
FAN
50%
25%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
FAN
2 - 2
REN
33%
29%
38%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
VIC
2 - 1
FAN
70%
20%
10%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
TRI
1 - 1
SAN
52%
25%
23%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 2
TER
30%
27%
44%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
FCS
5 - 0
SAN
43%
27%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
SSS
3 - 1
SAN
66%
21%
13%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
REG
34%
27%
39%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |