Fano vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
39.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
VIC
2 - 1
FAN
75%
18%
8%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
FAN
2 - 4
PIA
12%
21%
67%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
MOD
2 - 1
FAN
67%
21%
12%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
FAN
0 - 2
UAR
37%
28%
35%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2019 |
TRI
1 - 0
FAN
73%
18%
9%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
FER
1 - 1
REG
18%
25%
58%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
CAR
4 - 0
FER
77%
16%
7%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
FER
0 - 2
VIR
30%
27%
43%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2019 |
TER
4 - 1
FER
67%
20%
13%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
FER
3 - 3
CES
16%
25%
60%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +1 |