Fano vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
20.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
SAN
5 - 1
FAN
46%
25%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
FAN
0 - 0
CHI
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
JES
2 - 0
FAN
21%
24%
55%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
FAN
1 - 4
SSS
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
AMI
0 - 2
FAN
18%
24%
59%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
FER
2 - 1
MON
58%
21%
22%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
VIS
2 - 1
FER
31%
24%
45%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
FER
1 - 1
CAS
65%
20%
16%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CAM
1 - 0
FER
43%
24%
34%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
AVE
2 - 1
FER
36%
23%
41%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |