Fano vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
57.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
TER
1 - 1
FAN
73%
16%
11%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ISE
0 - 2
FAN
50%
23%
28%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
FAN
2 - 2
ASC
34%
24%
43%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
REC
2 - 1
FAN
45%
26%
29%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
FAN
1 - 1
GIU
59%
22%
19%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
FER
2 - 3
ASC
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
GIU
2 - 1
FER
14%
23%
64%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
FER
3 - 0
ISE
75%
16%
9%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
MAC
1 - 1
FER
31%
26%
43%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
FER
1 - 1
REC
79%
15%
7%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |