Fano vs Avezzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
FER
0 - 1
FAN
37%
23%
40%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
FAN
3 - 0
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CHI
2 - 0
FAN
29%
25%
46%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
FAN
1 - 0
JES
63%
22%
15%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SSS
1 - 0
FAN
68%
19%
13%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Avezzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
AVE
2 - 0
GIU
68%
17%
15%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
VIS
4 - 2
AVE
46%
23%
31%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
AVE
3 - 1
MAT
28%
23%
50%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +3 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CAM
3 - 1
AVE
63%
20%
17%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
AVE
0 - 0
MON
52%
21%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |