Fano vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
44.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
VIG
1 - 0
FAN
53%
24%
23%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
FAN
2 - 1
GAV
33%
26%
41%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ACG
3 - 1
FAN
53%
24%
23%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
FAN
1 - 3
CAR
18%
25%
58%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CHI
3 - 2
FAN
61%
23%
17%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
ASM
0 - 0
FCC
59%
22%
19%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ASM
1 - 0
POM
46%
24%
31%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ASM
2 - 2
NEA
49%
23%
27%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ACI
0 - 2
ASM
42%
26%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ASM
4 - 1
VIG
52%
24%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |