Fano vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
54.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
CES
3 - 0
FAN
74%
17%
9%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
FAN
1 - 2
IMO
31%
29%
41%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
FAN
0 - 2
SSS
30%
27%
44%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
CAR
0 - 0
FAN
76%
17%
8%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
FAN
1 - 1
PAD
16%
26%
58%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
MAN
5 - 2
MAT
51%
24%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
SSS
2 - 0
MAN
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
MAN
5 - 1
PRG
12%
22%
67%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | +3 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
PAD
3 - 1
MAN
60%
23%
17%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
MAN
1 - 2
CAR
24%
26%
50%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |