Scotland U20 League Round 3

Falkirk U20 vs Kilmarnock U20 analysis

Falkirk U20 Kilmarnock U20
27 ELO 23
4.5% Tilt -6.4%
26966º General ELO ranking 26968º
120º Country ELO ranking 122º
ELO win probability
64.2%
Falkirk U20
17.9%
Draw
17.9%
Kilmarnock U20

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
Falkirk U20
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.9%
17.9%
Win probability
Kilmarnock U20
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Falkirk U20
-38%
-15%
Kilmarnock U20

ELO progression

Falkirk U20
Kilmarnock U20
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Falkirk U20
Falkirk U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Aug. 2017
FAL
Falkirk U20
0 - 4
Celtic U20
CEL
21%
21%
59%
28 43 15 0
25 Apr. 2017
FAL
Falkirk U20
3 - 2
St. Mirren U20
STM
61%
19%
20%
28 25 3 0
18 Apr. 2017
MOT
Motherwell U20
3 - 2
Falkirk U20
FAL
71%
17%
13%
28 38 10 0
11 Apr. 2017
FAL
Falkirk U20
3 - 0
Dundee U20
DUN
60%
19%
20%
27 25 2 +1
06 Apr. 2017
ABE
Aberdeen U20
2 - 0
Falkirk U20
FAL
69%
17%
14%
28 34 6 -1

Matches

Kilmarnock U20
Kilmarnock U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Aug. 2017
STM
St. Mirren U20
1 - 2
Kilmarnock U20
KIL
55%
20%
25%
22 24 2 0
22 Aug. 2017
KIL
Kilmarnock U20
1 - 6
Hibernian U20
HIB
21%
21%
59%
24 36 12 -2
15 Aug. 2017
KIL
Kilmarnock U20
0 - 2
Berwick Rangers
BER
13%
17%
70%
25 47 22 -1
01 May. 2017
CEL
Celtic U20
2 - 2
Kilmarnock U20
KIL
86%
9%
4%
25 45 20 0
27 Apr. 2017
DUN
Dundee U20
1 - 1
Kilmarnock U20
KIL
38%
23%
39%
25 24 1 0